Live betting strategy (football)

For a strategy to be profitable, several preconditions must be met.

The strategy of making a guaranteed profit from bets with insurance, which is most suitable for playing on an exchange (for example, Betfair) due to “floating” quotes, this is what makes it effective. To use this strategy, it is necessary to: 1) bet in live, 2) follow the video broadcast of the match, 3) wait until exactly 1 goal is scored (that is, the score is 1:0 or 0:1). It is best if the score was opened by the team that was quoted as the clear favorite before the match.

Watching the match, shortly before the break, you can often observe that the teams are no longer trying to score. Of course, this can happen at any moment, but a few minutes before the whistle about the end of the 1st half, the teams usually play defensively in order not to concede a goal “into the locker room”.

At this point, you bet on the betting exchange for total under 2.5 goals (back bet).

Ideally, this should be done in the 40th minute of the game. The coefficient on "total under" at this moment, with the score 1:0 or 0:1, is still quite large and can reach 2.50 or higher.

After that, sit back in your chair and continue watching the match. In the last couple of minutes before the whistle for the break and during the break, the odds for total over/under change very much. The coefficient on the "bottom" can fall somewhere by 0.3, for example, and this is an ideal situation for insurance, which guarantees you a profit in any outcome!

You place a bet AGAINST the total under 2.5 goals, that is, you bet that there will be a reverse outcome. It is better to choose the amount for this bet so that the profit is the same for any outcome. If you did everything right, you are guaranteed to earn.

Situation: You are watching a Chelsea vs Manchester United match. The favorite before the match is Chelsea. The teams play defensively, but Chelsea still manage to score in the first half. At the 40th minute the score was 1:0. You can see that the teams are being cautious and betting on the total under 2.5 goals with odds of 2.50 in the amount of $10. The first half ends - 1:0.

At the beginning of the second half, the coefficient on the "bottom", for example, is already 2.20. You bet against total under 2.5 goals betting strategy total over 0 5 Odds of 2.20 for a lay bet will be "inverse", its real odds will be 1.83. This means that you need to bet $13.6 in order to receive about $25 in revenue if you win against Under2.5.

Now we count. If the match ends with a score of 1:0, 2:0 or 1:1, your first bet wins, on total under 2.5 goals, in the amount of $10 - and you get $25. Subtract the sum of both bets from the proceeds and get a profit of $1.4. If there are 3 goals or more in the match, your lay bet wins: $13.6 x 1.83 = $24.9. Then the profit will be $1.3.

It may seem that the profit is too small, but in fact, almost 15% of the initial rate is more than enough. As the amount of the bet increases, the profit will also increase.

The risk is that another goal may be scored at the end of the first half - after you have already bet on the total under 2.5 goal betting strategy total over 0 5 But this rarely happens, and if you are careful, you can win regularly . Success!

Today we will consider a fairly popular betting system on Goal in the first half. As you understand it will be about football matches. Let's start, as usual, with the essence of the strategy, consider an example for understanding, and study the betting algorithms in LIVE mode. Yes, it is in Live that you will often have to use a strategy. Well, at the end, as usual, there will be a conclusion.

The essence of the strategy Goal in the first half

As already managed to guess it is necessary to predict. which of the teams will be able to score a goal in the first half of a football match. This bet has its own name - First half total over 0.5 or TB 0.5 if abbreviated. Naturally, there is nothing complicated at first glance. But what is the salt?

How to choose the right team for a bet

For team selection, there are several approaches that will need to be covered so that you have a full clip of options. Moreover, it will be useful for general development.

Selecting a command using a formula

We select a football event, for example K1 - K2. To determine who to bet on, you need to look at the statistics of the last 5 matches and how many goals they scored in the first half. For the calculation, we use the coefficients: a goal scored at home is 1 goal, a goal scored away is 2 goals, a goal conceded at home is 2 goals, a goal conceded away is 1 goal. Using these parameters, we calculate the statistics for 5 games.

• For example, for K1 - scored 1 goal at home = 1 goal, scored 2 goals away = 4 goals, conceded 1 goal at home = 2 goals, conceded 3 goals away = 3 goals.
• Suppose for K2 - scored 1 goal at home = 1 goal, scored 0 goals away = 0 goals, conceded 4 goals at home = 8 goals, conceded 4 goals away = 4 goals.

Now, using a simple formula, we calculate the odds that will allow us to find out who is more likely to score a goal in the 1st half.

(Goals scored at home / Goals conceded away) + (Goals scored away / Goals conceded)

Coefficient for K1 = (1/4)+(4/8)=0.25+0.5= 0.75

Coefficient for K2 = (1/3) + (0/2) = 0.33

The lower the coefficient, the higher the probability that the team will score a goal in the 1st half. Match result: Team K2 scored 2 goals in the first half.

For this strategy to work hard, it is necessary that the coefficient be more than 0.6 , but if the coefficient turns out to be 1, then it is better not to bet on this match at all.

Selection by last dry draw

This type of selection is quite simple, for this you need statistics for the last 5 seasons, goals scored in 1.2 halves and goals scored in the match in different leagues in general, we will bring them into a single table and will use it to determine the percentage of entry. I'll provide data on three of them. I think you can do the rest of the work yourself.

• Germany Bundesliga: Goals scored in 1st half: 67,4% 26,5% Goals scored in matches 93,9%
• Germany 3rd league: Goals scored in 1st half: 57,9% Goals scored in the 2nd half: 32,4% Goals scored in matches 93,9%
• Egypt Premier League: Goals scored in 1st half: 52,4% Goals scored in the 2nd half: 36,4% Goals scored in matches 88,8%

1. We are looking for an event in which the last outcome was 0-0 (dry or eggs)
2. We determine the country and league in which the teams play. We analyze with the help of the table whether it is suitable.
3. If the event is suitable, then we bet the usual TB0.5 in the first half, if a goal was scored in the first half, we bet that they will score in the second half in order to return the money spent and also win.
4. Goal in the second half! Bingo.

I advise Austrian Bundesliga, English Premier League, English Premier League (Junior 21), German Bundesliga, Hungarian Premier League, Belgian Premier League, Scandinavian League countries (Norway, Sweden, Finland), Dutch Premier League, Czech Premier League.

I do not advise: Argentina, Egypt, all Cup matches, friendlies, especially international ones, because the result is too unpredictable.

Choice by house favorite

There is an option to select matches and teams for betting on Goal in the first half by looking for a favorite to score who plays at home. Specifically, you need clogging favorite team with odds no more than 1.7 and for this team to play at home, only with the observance of these conditions, one can hope for a positive outcome of the bets.

To win, you need to bet at the end of the first half of the first half. The coefficient usually rises to 2. If the favorite team attacks a lot and often creates scoring chances, then you should bet. However, if the game is inactive and there are few scoring chances, then you need to make the opposite bet in order to win back the bet or even be in the black a little, i.e. create a surebet type for bet insurance.

First Half Goal Insurance

As described above, in the middle of the first half, if the account is not opened and there are no prerequisites, then you can use Live to make the opposite bet to insure the original one. Or you can bet on a goal in the second half.

bet365 1st and 2nd half goal betting scheme

There is a certain scheme tailored for the bet365 bookmaker (but it is also suitable for other bookmakers). I covered it separately in the blog: bet365 betting scheme for goals in the first and second half.

Conclusion

The strategy is quite interesting and attractive, but as old as the world. In general, if you have statistics and are well versed in teams, it can give a good profit. I think this is a worthy strategy, especially in conjunction with financial strategies

What does the total mean in sports betting, in particular football, I want to understand every novice bettor. After all, these options can significantly increase the odds of the bet and increase the winnings.

Total (Total is a bettor's bet on the number of goals expected to be scored.. Such a bet is made in relation to the fixed result offered by the bookmaker. Better chooses a value greater or less than the proposed one. There are several typesTotal:

• Match results.
• According to the results of the half or period (Total for the first and second, or only for one of them).
• The individual total of a certain player (team) - for his goals, yellow / red cards, etc. It is designated as iTB, iTM.

What is the total of the match - this is the total number of all goals scored during the competition. Moreover, the goal of both opponents is considered, and the outcome of the match (who won) is not taken into account.

The total of a half or period implies that the counting of events will be carried out within the framework of not the entire match, but a certain segment (half or period).

What is an individual total in bets - these are the achievements of one, usually a rated player, for example, scorer. Sometimes they bet not on achievements, but, on the contrary, on failures (the number of goals conceded, etc.). Also, the individual total is over or under 1; 2; 3 etc. may not be related to the athlete, but to the achievements of the team.

What is total over (TB) and total under (TM)

By betting onTotal, the better does not indicate the estimated number of goals, but only chooses more or less. Therefore, totals are classified into:

• The total is more than the bookmaker offers - the symbolic value of TB.
• The total is less than the bookmaker offers - the symbolic value of TM.

In the lines of bookmakers you can often find an offer to bet on total over 0.5; one; 1.5; 2; 2.5; 3; 3.5; four; 4.5; 5 etc. – what does it mean in football betting? It is important to understand that fractional totals (1.5) are different from whole totals (2). For example, a fractional Total greater than 2.5, if you bet on it, will only go in a situation in which the result of the competition is at least three goals. If there are 0 goals; 1 or 2 - the bet will not go in.

And in the case of a solid TO 2, with a result of goals for the match 2, there will be a refund of the bet. Wanting to bet more on Total, the player chooses from the range of values ​​(from TB 0.5 to TB 6) provided by the bookmaker for this event. Bet onTotal greater than 0.5 means that the number of goals can be any, the main thing is that there is no draw.

Total less than 0.5; one; 1.5; 2; 2.5; 3; 3.5; four; 4.5; 5; 5.5; 6 goals in sports betting, including football - what does it mean? In this case, as with TB, you need to choose one of the options offered by the bookmaker. For example, in a match between Dynamo and Vorskla, BC offers bets on Total less than 0.5; 2; 3.5. Better is sure that the teams' motivation is low and they will play sluggishly. Therefore, he bets on Total less than 0.5 or 2. In the case of Under 2, the match must end with the results 1-0, 0-1, 0-0. If the bet TM is 0.5, then it will go in only in case of a draw.

Asian total in bets - what is it

The classic total multiple of 0.5 (this is 0.5; 1; 1.5; 2; 3.5, etc.) is, in principle, everything that is described above. There is also Total, a multiple of an integer - 1; 2; 3.

In football, forecasts can also be made for the Asian total, which is more "sensitive" than 0.5 or 1, since it is a multiple of 0.25. What does this option give the better? All the same safety net, as in the bet on a double outcome. After all, the Asian total involves a combo bet on 2 adjacent TB or TM (0.75; 1.75; 2.75, etc.). For example, we chose the TB rate of 2.25 and bet 100 rubles on it. In such a situation, the following results are possible:

• The better receives all winnings if 3 goals or more are scored.
• If 1 goal is scored during the match, the bet is not successful and the money is lost.
• If 2 goals are scored, the better receives a refund of half the bet (50 rubles). This is due to the peculiarities of the Asian total, because it is decomposed into two bets, a multiple of 0.5, located next to each other (TB 2 and 2.5). And the wagered money is also distributed equally between two adjacent bets.

The advantages of such a bet are manifested in situations where the bettor needs to make the most flexible and less risky prediction, depending on the characteristics of a sporting event. Total with a multiplicity of 0.25 increases the chances of a bet to enter, and reduces the likelihood of losing or returning a bet.

What is a three-way total (including corners) in bets

What does a three-way total mean in betting - this is the total of the match, which consists of three options - TB, TM or “equal to a certain value”. This type of bet is quite difficult to predict, so the odds here are higher than usual.

There is also such an option as an individual three-way total 1 (teams 1) or an individual three-way total 2 (teams 2). Here the goals are counted not by both teams, but by one specific one. And then choose greater than, less than or equal to.

What is an individual three-way total on corners - this is the same as betting on an individual total of a match (player or team) on corners. Only quotes in this case are higher, in particular, if the better chooses the option “equal to a certain exact number of goals”.

What you need to know about pseudo-ratings of bookmakers on the Internet for those who are looking for a reliable bookmaker.(if you are not interested in information about fake bookmaker ratings that can be found on the net, then skip and do not read further the text highlighted in color)

On betting sites, you can often find ratings of bookmakers. As a rule, they have the headings “BEST BOOKMAKER”, “BOOKMAKER RANKING”, “BEST BOOKMAKER RANKING” (or something like that), followed by 5-10 small link banners indicating the name of the bookmaker and the bonus amount for registration, by clicking on one of which the user is taken to the registration page of the site of the selected bookmaker. At the same time, nowhere is it explained by what criteria these “ratings” are compiled and why these particular bookmakers were included in them. Or, sometimes, vague indicators appear, taken from the ceiling, for example, “reliability”, “quality of work of the support service”, etc., although it is absolutely unclear on the basis of what data these indicators were evaluated ... It is necessary to understand that with real bookmaker ratings, this information has nothing in common. It's just that site owners have agreements with certain bookmakers to attract customers. This does not mean that these bookmakers are scammers or are playing a dishonest game, but, let’s say, the above lists and the lists in which they appear have nothing to do with the word “rating”.

Those. The owners of betting sites very often for advertising purposes call ratings (which, of course, are not such) the usual lists of bookmakers with which they cooperate, with referral links to registration pages.

Conclusion: you should not believe all the lists of bookmakers on the Internet, titled ratings, because. most of them are compiled according to the above scheme.

The question arises: by what criterion to determine the real bookmaker No. 1 in the betting market? And here it is unlikely that anyone will object to such an answer: the main criterion for the quality of work, popularity and reliability of a bookmaker’s office is the NUMBER OF PLAYERS making bets in it – the more reliable and famous the bookmaker, the more of them.

Of course, it is impossible to find reliable information about the number of clients registered and playing in the office, but there is an opportunity to determine the leader among bookmakers by this indicator. The wordstat.yandex.ru Internet resource allows you to determine the number of certain requests from visitors to the Yandex search engine. The analysis carried out on the basis of relevant statistical data shows that the most famous in the Russian-speaking market of bookmakers are bookmakers of the trade mark "1X" (1 x): 1XBET/1XBET (for Russian ip-addresses). So, for example, the total number of search queries in Yandex in October 2018 for the words “1xBet”, “1xbet”, “1xbet”, “1xstavka” was 3,395,544, which is much more than the number of search queries about other bookmakers.

Thus, we can confidently say that 1X is the most famous betting brand in Russia, which is trusted by the most customers.

It should be taken into account that there is practically no difference between the sites of 1XSTAVKA and 1XBET bookmakers (in terms of interface, functionality offered for event betting, odds, etc.) You can learn more about the differences between them

You can personally verify that the bookmakers of the 1X brand (1XSTAVKA and 1XBET) are significantly superior to competitors in terms of the number of search queries on the network, and, accordingly, in terms of the number of players who have chosen them, you can visit the Yandex. Choice of words": https://wordstat.yandex.ru (if you are not registered with Yandex, you will first need to register in its system).

Use when registering BC 1xBet promo code 1xs_3075 , and when registering Bookmaker 1xBet promo code 1x_1600 to receive an increased first deposit bonus.

What is total in sports betting

Total (from the English “total” = “sum, total”) in sports betting is the number of goals scored in a sporting event (in football and hockey), points scored (in basketball and volleyball) or games played (in tennis). In addition to the above, in bookmakers you can bet on the total on a large number of other various events, for example, on the number of corners in football, misses of one or another participant in biathlon, the number of penalty minutes in hockey, the number of rallies in a game in tennis, the number of games played (in volleyball), etc. But, once again, it should be noted that in betting on football in the main list in the line, the total is always the number of goals scored during the regular time of a football match. And in the future, in this post, bets on the total in football will mean bets on the number of goals.

Total bets are divided into two types:

1. Bets on total "over" (or TB) - i.e. bets placed on the fact that more goals will be scored in the match than the total indicated in the line.

2. Bets on Total Under (or Under) – i.e. bets placed on the fact that fewer goals will be scored in the match than the total indicated in the line.

Accordingly, with a likely large number of goals, a bet is made on the total more, and if there is a higher probability that there will be few goals scored, then a bet on the total less is made.

Total 0.5 in football

In the line of the bookmaker's office 1xBet total less than 0.5 is indicated as 0.5 M, and the total is over 0.5 - 0.5 B

Total over 0.5 (or 0.5 B, Over 0.5)

The bet on TB 0.5 wins if at least one goal is scored in the match and loses if no goals are scored in the match. Thus, if the match ends with a score of 0:0, then the over 0.5 bet will lose. If the match ends with any other score, no matter what, the main thing is that at least one goal or more is scored in it, then the bet on TB 0.5 will win.

Total Under 0.5 (or 0.5 M, Under 0.5)

The bet on TM 0.5 wins if no goals are scored in the match and loses if goals are scored in the match. Thus, if the match ends with a score of 0:0, then the bet under 0.5 will win. And in the event that the match ends with any other score, no matter what, most importantly, if at least one goal or more was scored, then the bet on TM 0.5 will lose.

As a rule, bookmakers accept bets on TB 0.5 or TM 0.5 on the result of a certain segment of a football match or as in a match of one of the rival teams.

Below are the odds of the most popular and reliable bookmakers on Runet for the bet "Individual total of the Bulgarian national team: Under 0.5 (total less than 0.5)" for the qualifying match of the national teams for the 2018 FIFA World Cup Holland - Bulgaria. (Date and time of the match: 09/03/2017 at 19:00 (Moscow time). Odds values ​​are presented as of 09/02/2017 22:00 (Moscow time)

An example of calculating a bet on total less than 0.5 (TM 0.5):

Consider the above match between the Dutch national team and the Bulgarian national team. Let's say you've placed a bet of $1,000. on an individual total of Bulgaria under 0.5 with a coefficient of 2.08.

Thus, if the Bulgarian national team does not score a single goal, then this bet will win; and if Bulgaria scores (at least one goal or more), then this bet will lose.

At the same time, the number of goals scored by the Dutch team in this example does not matter, because. the bet is made on the individual total of the Bulgarian national team.

For example, if the match ends with a score of 3:0 in favor of the Dutch team, then the bet on« The individual total of the Bulgarian national team: ТМ 0.5 (total less than 0.5) will win (because the number of goals scored by Bulgaria is zero) and the bookmaker will pay out the winnings to the player who made such a bet in the amount of the amount of the bet (1000 rubles), multiplied by the coefficient ( K=2.08), i.e. 1000 x 2.08 = 2080 rubles.

Total over 0.5 in football.
A betting system that allows you to get a significant amount of profit without exposing your bankroll to risk. As the title makes clear, we will bet on over 0.5 goals in the match. This means that we bet that at least one goal will be scored by any team. Only result 0-0 break our chain of victories. If you choose matches carefully, you can easily achieve a chain of 30-60 wins.

This is what we are striving for.
The system is progressive. This means that for each next match we bet everything that we won in the previous one. We repeat this until it seems to us that it is time to stop.
The system is good for use on betfair, on inplay markets (in play)- that is, during the game.
To use it, trading skills or any additional knowledge on the Betfair exchange are not required. The ability to make a simple ordinary bet will be enough. The reason why Betfair is suitable is because of the high odds (higher than the bookmakers) and high liquidity in almost all matches.

First

First, decide on the size of the bet. You don't need huge sums. 2 or 10 dollars will be enough.

Second

Find a game where you think at least one goal will be scored. If you are not an expert in football, you can use the predictions of others.

Third

Select the market "total over 0.5 goals"

In the picture above, our case is highlighted in yellow - "one goal or more in a match"
Do not place a bet before the game! Wait for the match to start. This system works during the match. We will place a bet as soon as the odds increase slightly.

Several options for entering the game:
- if you are aiming for a quick goal, then place a bet immediately after the start of the game.
Tip: the coefficient for the bet must be at least 1.11 ! Don't bet on odds below this. If an early goal was scored before the odds became acceptable, it's a pity. Switch to the next match. Don't forget that Betfair takes commissions. 5% from your profit, so wait for the coefficient at least 1.11 .
- you can wait 30 minutes as most goals are scored after this time mark. By this time, the coefficient will increase enough.
-You can choose not to bet in the first half and bet in the second. The rate will be higher 1.2 which will increase the gain.
You decide what is most convenient for you!

Let's see how much we can win with this system with a $10 bet.
If you bet with an average odd of 1.10, then 30 consecutive wins will give you
$10 x 17 = $170!
If you bet with an average odd of 1.20, then 30 consecutive wins will give you
10$ x 237 = 2.370$!
As you can see, the system is worthy of attention!