Quarter basketball betting strategy. Basketball live betting strategy: chasing the winner in a quarter

Basketball, along with hockey, belongs to the category of the most unpredictable sports games. Perhaps this is what he attracts viewers around the world. But just watching the game and enjoying it is one thing. To guess the outcome of the match, you need a certain system. In this article, we will look at the most popular and effective basketball betting strategies. So let's get started.

Total strategy in basketball

Is the most popular. In the painting of the match of any office there are at least three different totals. That is, players can bet “under” and “over” on several different outcomes. For example, that both teams will score from 170 to 190 points in a match. In addition, totals are accepted for fouls in quarters, free throws, three-pointers, etc. In the largest offices there is even a “total market” for basketball players. That is, you can bet on three-pointers, fouls and free throws of each of the members of both teams.

Total calculation

For the calculation, you need to analyze the five previous games of the teams in question. No less important are the statistics of personal meetings.

1. To begin with, we calculate the amount of points that each team received in the last 5 games. The result is divided by five. As a result, we get the arithmetic mean.

2. Now that we have this indicator, we can calculate further. We add three points to the sum of the points of the home team, as well as one point for each game won from the last five. One and a half points are deducted for a loss. We do the same with the visiting team. The only thing is that you don't need to add three points at the beginning.

3. The next step is the analysis of personal meetings. Again, you need to calculate the arithmetic mean for each team. Then they are added to the results obtained in paragraph number 1, and divided by two. The resulting number will be the most likely total of the match. Comparing it with the line of bookmakers, we can draw certain conclusions. If the amount you received is less than the total in the line of the office, then you need to choose the total less. And vice versa.

Basketball is not limited to just one total. There are other strategies as well. Move on.

Oscar Grind Strategy

This is practically the only strategy that has a specific goal, namely, to increase the bankroll by one unit. This unit is the rate itself. Everything is simple. You don't even need any basketball betting software.

For example, your bank - 100 rubles. You bet 10 rubles. The goal is to increase assets by these 10 rubles. That is, you need to increase the bank to 110 rubles. If the bet does not pass, then its size increases to 20 rubles. If passed, the goal is reached. This strategy is also suitable for playing betting basketball. But common sense is required for its successful application. Place bets with minimal risk and maximum odds.

Quarter Betting (Basketball)

This can be both the indicators of individual teams, and the total value. Players are offered to bet on which quarter the given indicator will be higher or which value will be the highest in the entire match. In fact, the outcome of the quarter is very difficult to predict. Therefore, this strategy is mostly based on intuition and superficial analysis of the teams' previous games.

The corridor

All existing strategies for betting on basketball cannot be compared with the corridor in terms of profitability. This is the most profitable tactic. The middle is the difference between opposing bets on a particular event. For example, two teams are playing and they have the following bets:

• F2 (0).
• F1 (-5.5).
• TM 166.
• TB 160.

As you can see, there is a difference of exactly six points between TM and TB. This is the corridor. If both teams can earn between 161 and 165 points together, then both bets will pass. If the number of points scored is less than 161, only TM will pass. If more, then TV.

The same principle applies to forms. Here the corridor is a difference of 7 points. Both bets will stand if the first team beats the second by 6 points (or more).

There are corridors for a handicap in different offices, since each of them has its own opinion regarding the game of the teams. But the corridors for the total exist only at one bookmaker.

time match

As mentioned above, there is no more profitable basketball betting strategy than the middle. But if you master well such tactics as a time match, then the winnings can even exceed the income from the game along the "corridors". The essence of a time match is that the player bets on the outcome of the entire event or its first half. For example, team 1 and team 2 play football. You think that the first team will win in the first half, but the second team will win in the end. You are betting on it. And you can choose outcomes for two teams at once.

No basketball betting strategy gives such high odds as a half-match. Despite the clear underdog or favorite, the odds rarely drop below two. Therefore, you can earn decent money, even betting in two halves of the meeting on one winning team.

Live betting

Recently, betting on basketball in LIVE mode has been gaining momentum significantly. In this case, there are several strategies, but we will talk about the most popular. These are half-time bets when the bookmakers are preparing a new line for the 2nd half of the game. And they have very little time for this.

How can you bet like this? Everything is simple. You don't even need any basketball betting software. They can be done directly from the site of the bookmaker itself by selecting the appropriate menu item. So, what is the essence of the strategy itself?

The line in this type of betting is available to the player only for a few minutes, before changing the odds. As a result, he has very little time for analysis. But the bookmaker is in a similar position. Analysts need to quickly make adjustments based on the results of the first half of the game. And here they can make a mistake by giving an overestimated coefficient on the event.

Consider Team Motivation

In LIVE betting, this is one of the most important factors. At the opening of the game, the betting line reflects exclusively pre-match handouts. The line in the break can differ significantly from it. And here it is important to understand the motivation of the teams. How focused is the favorite on the game? Can he come out relaxed in the 2nd half and let the outsider pull himself up?

It often happens that, having gained leadership, the team loses motivation, despite the support of the coach and fans. This could be a good opportunity for you. On the other hand, the team can work out the first half poorly and use the second half to win back. To successfully put LIVE on the second half of the event, you need to be not only a capper, but also partly a psychologist, correctly assessing the team's habits and its character.

Select multiple matches to bet on

In the evening at EuroBasket or at night in the NBA, several events of interest to you can take place at once. All of them need to be kept in mind. After all, it may be necessary to move from one event to another in the absence of suitable rates. Therefore, ideally, it is worth watching several games at once and having information on them by analyzing the pre-match handouts.

Finding a reason

The break is a good opportunity to think carefully about what you saw and find out why everything happened the way it did in the first half and not otherwise. Did the opponent’s favorite underestimate or just have a bad day, what is the situation with fouls of key players, were there any injuries that significantly affect the game, etc. If the pre-match handouts do not correspond to what happened in the first half of the game, then you need to find the reason for this. Otherwise, you may not even hope for success in LIVE betting.

Basketball betting is attractive due to frequent events. The teams do not need such a long rest as in football, so there are many matches every day.

Betting on basketball without a strategy is dangerous. Let's take a look at a popular betting strategy called winning quarters (also referred to as betting quarters).

Open a tournament, choose a confrontation that has just begun, and bet on an outsider to win in the first quarter (quotes in the range of 2.0-7.0).

Follow the progress of the game. If the team does not win, double the bet for the second quarter (use catch-up). The cycle continues until the underdog wins in the 3rd or 4th period.

Let's test the system in practice. Let's take the results of several meetings. Out of 20 fights, the strategy would bring profit in 17, which is not bad at all (only 7 events fit in the screenshot).

Quotes for outsiders fluctuated from 2.0 to 4.5, but we are not interested in that. In three games, the favorite won or drew in all periods. In such matches, with the first bet of 100 rubles, we would have lost 1500 rubles (100 + 200 + 400 + 800). Let's see why this happened.

The second game on the list is a meeting between a clear favorite and an outsider. The odds for win 1 were 1.04, and for win 2 it was 8.75. In the rest of the matches that have not passed, the situation is identical. Therefore, ignore the opposition of teams, the level of which is significantly different.

Matches that are not suitable for the strategy

We realized that fights where there is a pronounced outsider are discarded (quotes for winning more than 7.0). Let's consider other criteria, the fulfillment of which will increase the patency of bets on the strategy:

• weak competitions are not suitable, for example, the championship of the Philippines or Malaysia. Bet in major tournaments where the level of the first and last team is minimal;
• exclude women's competitions - they are unpredictable, besides, in women's basketball there is a more significant difference in the class of opponents.

What to do when an outsider lost all quarters

If the game bank has enough stock, continue the series of bets in the team's next game. Be careful and don't rush to win back when the team is up against the championship leader.

Accept the loss - it's a safe option. If you started with a bet of 1% of the bankroll, then for 4 transactions you will lose 15%. Don't double down all the time. For example, when the coefficient is 3.0, after 100 rubles, put not 200, but 150. In any case, you will earn, but less, for that you will minimize the possible minus.

Advantages and disadvantages of the strategy

The advantages of the "win in quarter" strategy include high odds of winning and a lot of events. The probability of losing in all quarters does not exceed 10%, that is, 1 match out of 10. Analyze and discard events based on information, not just bookmaker odds.

Lack of strategy– progressive betting system (increasing the amount after the defeat). If a successful cycle brings 1-2% to the bank, then the loss will take at least 10%. The commission of offices is minimal, because the quotes do not include a draw. It's like "red and black" - it seems to be 50 to 50, but zero may fall out.

One of the most popular sports is basketball - a more exciting and beautiful game for those who are interested in spectacular events. But basketball is also a great way to make money on bets in bookmakers, having its own features and secrets. In addition, basketball betting strategies differ from football in their approach to different leagues, championships, countries, which means they more accurately assess the future outcome of the competition. So, in order.

Fast passage

Total betting in basketball

Basketball is one of those sports where there are many opportunities for making money on bets, but the breadth of analytics is quite large. The peculiarity of the deal on the outcome immediately catches your eye - you need to carefully check with the bookmaker (and if indicated, take into account) with or without overtime (OT) the played bet is considered. Overtime is called extra time (5 minutes), which is given if at the end of the main game the teams tied. By the way, whether there will be overtime at the end of the match is also a separate bet, on which you can make pretty good money.

Betting on total in basketball is one of the most popular types of betting in bookmakers. Totals are a numerical line, in both directions, one of which must be chosen to conclude a deal with the bookmaker. The types of totals for basketball are the same as in football, only the essence of the value and the numerical indicator are slightly modified. Total over (TB) and under (TM) indicate whether the specified indicator of the event will be exceeded or not. In football, for example, it is common to see such totals as 1.5 or 2.5 for the number of goals scored. And in basketball, it is not the number of shots into the basket that is counted, but the points scored (a regular thrown ball is 2 points, a three-point shot is a long shot). Therefore, you need to understand that TB155.5 for a match is the norm, but for a period it’s definitely overkill. Again, detailed analytics of cups and teams will help you determine the maximum possible total for the game.

In addition to points for the entire game, basketball totals are used for each quarter and for a separate team. Mathematical calculations and past statistics after determining the approximate total will help with the rest of the indicators.

Live basketball betting

Making a bet on the website of the bookmaker's office, when the match has already begun, is live betting. In basketball, they have a greater advantage than in other sporting events. If in football there are only 2 halves, and in tennis, a maximum of 3 sets, then in basketball there are 4 periods, which means that the possibilities are wider and, in case of an unplayed bet in the first or even the first three periods, there is always the opportunity to win back in the fourth . Playing live here is also pleasant, because it is not necessary to bet on the entire game as a whole, you can just limit yourself to one period, and if the bet immediately played, you can safely refuse further transactions on this match.

In live betting, you can make deals with a bookmaker not only on the outcome or total for regular time and periods, even before the end of the game, handicap odds (handicap) are still available, who will score a point in a match or a bet on even / odd, not uncommon in live betting and free throws or fouls.

Quarter Basketball Betting

An excellent opportunity to quickly “raise” money, increase the chances of winning or return funds for an obviously unplayed bet is to play not at once for the whole game, but in stages. Betting on basketball in quarters has proven itself well, and in order to understand the advantage, consider this strategy option.

Live match - Gran Canaria and Hapoel Jerusalem. The third quarter is already underway and in terms of total points at the current moment in this segment of the game - a draw. But a draw, as you know, is not the most common outcome of a game, especially in basketball. If a bet has already been made for the entire match to win Gran Canaria, but in the third period the gap shows that the forecast may not come true, then there is an opportunity to correct the situation by betting on the opponent’s total or the current outsider’s handicap, depending on the size of the odds and probability theory . It is also worth analyzing the situation and not rushing. It often happens that a basketball team swings for a long time, exhausts an opponent, and then opens up a second wind. Therefore, it is better to bet on periods in basketball in real time and, preferably, watching the current state of the game via online broadcast.

Odd and even odds in basketball

Putting a bet on even/odd in basketball before the game and at the beginning of the match is nothing better than playing in a casino with a probability of 50/50. given the presence of basketball players who systematically make such throws) - then the percentage of odd and even variations begins to be corrected in the direction of the better. You should not focus on the odds (equal to 1.85) - it is the same for the above reasons, because the bookmaker himself does not know what the result will be.

Features and secrets of online basketball betting

1) Points per game are more constant than in other sporting events, even over time periods. There is a certain corridor of goals scored from approximately 114 to 230 with overtime, depending on the league and the teams participating in the match. And if in football or hockey the game can often end in a draw or a zero score, then basketball does not suffer from such events.

2) It is possible to bet on handicap and total without a significant reduction in odds, as is often the case in football.

3) The intensity of the number of competitions in the championships is much higher - you can bet almost every day.

The secret of successful bets on basketball can be called the patterns that occur during the game:

1) At the beginning of the season, basketball teams fall short on points, comparing averages. The main reason is the “buildup” and tuning of the “fighting spirit” of the athletes.

2) Replacing even one player in the first team can lead to unpredictable results - after all, without teamwork and a team system, it is much more difficult to defeat an opponent. The same goes for getting injured during the offseason.

3) The effectiveness of goals thrown into the ring in the playoffs is lower than in the season, because the main task in the competition is not to let the opponent score, and only then attack.

Basketball betting strategy

Basketball betting strategies differ in each individual league, cup, and any better will notice what, sometimes, big differences between the results of matches. The most popular basketball games for betting are the FIBA ​​Challenge Cup (which includes the most famous NBA - the US National Basketball Association), Euroleague, Eurocup, VTB United League. The strategy for betting on the total on a general basis in each individual club is the arithmetic calculation of the average statistical indicator, taking into account the handicap. How to calculate the correct total for a game between teams?

Calculation of the average total for the basketball team and for the match

After selecting a game, we turn to the statistics on previously played matches. Important - the more previous data is collected, the more accurately the outcome of the current basketball game will be calculated. For example, we take the last 7 matches of both teams with other rivals. We calculate the average score of each - sum up the points and divide by 7. So, we add a 3-point handicap to the host side, since they play at home, we don’t touch the guests yet. After that, we make the following calculations with the result of the hosts of the field - for each victory from the last 7 matches we add one, and for a loss we subtract 1.5. We do the same with the result of the guests. As a result, we get two values ​​that can be considered an approximate indicator per team. The sum of these numbers, divided by two, will be the average total for the match. Choose the nearest total for the bet.

Data from statistics can be taken directly on the bookmaker's website, which stores information about past events in the archive, filtering data by teams and clubs. On Winline, for example, clicking on the statistics icon (opposite the match on the right) will open a new tab where you can see the results of matches already played, the calendar of events, head-to-head matches.

Basketball catch-up bets

The catch-up strategy works great in a single match when the trade is made for periods. How it works? We bet on a probable event with a lower coefficient for the first period, if we didn’t play, we double the amount and again bet on the same outcome only in the second period. After the failure of the team in the first segment of the game, it will try to rehabilitate itself, and the bookmaker will immediately increase the odds. If during this period of the match the rehabilitation did not occur, the coefficient increases even more, and we again do the same actions with the next period. Here we get either a significant gain, or a change of position. Usually, by the fourth quarter, the gap in such a failure is significant, so we change our opinion to the clearly opposite, and bet on the original outsider, increasing the amount so as to at least have a small profit, since the odds will be much smaller than at the beginning of the game.

Ordinary - single bet

A single bet can include only one bet with a fixed coefficient, by which the staked amount will be multiplied. It is necessary to play singles in order to diversify deposits, reducing risks to a minimum. At the same time, single coupons can be played both for different matches and for one, even with a change in the initial positions for a match. This is the easiest way to bet on sports on a sportsbook website.

Express bets are a coupon that includes deals on several matches. It attracts with the express opportunity to increase the investment at times and even dozens of times. The nuances are: you cannot put odds from one match in one express, and also, in case of losing at least one point from the coupon, the entire amount is burned. As a recommendation - try not to make too long lines from sports events in one coupon. Let it be better to have several express bets, but with a higher probability of winning, especially since one such coupon out of 2-9 placed can make a profit even if the rest of the tickets fail.

Let's start with the fact that not all bookmakers offer a betting system to the bettor, and the main reason is the increased probability of winning. For novice players, this is just a chance to insure themselves against losses due to lack of experience. The essence of the basketball betting system is to give the bettor the right to make a mistake without losing all the money invested. The coupon of the system is a splitting of a long express into several short ones, and in case of losing one or several (depending on the type of system chosen), get a win on the rest. The system coupon can be, for example, 2 out of 3 or 6 out of 12, where in the first case one event is allowed to be lost, and in the second - six. But for winning short express bets, the coefficients are not multiplied, but summed up. The final result of the coupon, in comparison with the usual express, is lower in terms of profitability, but it gives much more chances to win.

VBL Virtual Basketball (VBL)

Digital technologies have firmly entered our lives and now fans of virtual sports have the opportunity to earn on VBL (virtual basketball) bets. VBL matches are an artificial intelligence simulation of the possible outcome of the game, taking into account the built-in statistics of real teams, their position in the standings, clubs' performance. Episodes from the match are created using a random number generator, and the better can watch the game using a virtual broadcast.

The virtual basketball system works around the clock. 16 teams participate in the competition, and each game out of 8 takes place within 3 minutes 20 seconds. Before betting on virtual basketball, you need to understand not only the system of events, but also study the statistical indicators of the current state of the standings, analyze the performance of teams. Next, open a deal:

• In the line we find the line "Virtual Basketball";

• To view the statistics, click on the icon shown in the screenshot.

• Events open for betting are located immediately below the general information;

• Clicking on a match will open the additional betting window, where you can choose the odds from handicap, total and individual totals, the victory of one of the teams or a draw. Deals are accepted up to 10 seconds before the start of the match. We place our bets and click on the appropriate button. After 4 minutes we get the results of the game.

How to bet on basketball on the BC website

Having learned the theory of betting on basketball, having analyzed the statistics of the most predictable matches, we get down to business. How to place a bet at a bookmaker? Consider the simplest way - the ordinary. So, the steps to betting with a bookmaker look something like this:

1) We register on the website of a bookmaker, preferably a licensed one. On our website, all bookmakers are official and work through TSUPIS (what is TSUPIS, its advantages and disadvantages read in separate article). We enter real data and confirm our identity by following the instructions on the site.

2) We deposit money to the balance of any of the payment systems presented on the site.

4) We create our own basketball betting strategy using general information.

5) Click on the match to open the currently presented odds from the bookmaker.

6) Select the desired bet category and click on the win rate. At this moment, a coupon is filled in on the right, which indicates information about the competition, the selected odds and the amount to bet. Specify the amount and click the "Place a bet" button, or a symbol that replaces it.

7) We repeat the same steps, only from 3 points, to open new deals with the bookmaker. Follow the matches and win money on online bets!

Basketball is a fast-paced sport, with a lot of scoring attacks, bright game moments and often unpredictably twisted plot. For bettors, basketball is one of the most popular sports for betting, and it is not surprising that there are a lot of methods - both in live and in the pre-match line. We have selected the best basketball betting material.

Quarter catch-up

The structure of a basketball game is four periods of equal length. In European basketball, there are four periods of 10 minutes, and NBA National Basketball Association Philippine and Australian leagues - 12 minutes. This breakdown into game segments makes basketball an ideal sport when using catch-up by game segments.

When catching up, the player constantly increases the bet amount in a certain progression until he achieves the planned win. In our case, the catch-up has clear boundaries - 4 quarters of a basketball game. This helps to avoid excessive losses - losing streaks can drag on to the point where the player simply does not have the money to double the bet.

Quarter catching in basketball is based on the assumption that one team rarely wins four quarters of a game. Then we bet on the victory in the 1st quarter of the team recognized by the bookmakers as an outsider. Ideally, if the odds for this are 2.0 or higher - it is easier to count the catch-up step - you can simply double the bet. Lose - double the amount. We bet on the outsider in the 2nd quarter, etc., until the bet is played or the game is over.

We get a win - we pause and move on to another match. Recommendation for choosing matches - it is advisable to select fights where there is a clear favorite, but the outsider does not look like "whipping boys" either. Quarters often end in a draw, ideally - to take the "non-losing" team in the period.

Of course, if the favorite wins all the quarters, the losses are decent - if we take the starting amount for 100 USD, then - 100 + 200 + 400 + 800 = 1500 USD, but if you manage to avoid getting into such a match somewhat days in a row, which is quite real - the strategy can bring income.

Let's check the statement that matches where four playing periods are won by one team are rare, empirically. Let's take 10 random NBA matches and see how many fights there will be in this selection of fights where the tactic of catching up in quarters loses. We take the period from November 28 to 29 in the 2016/17 season in the NBA. There were two fights where all quarters were won by one team - Indiana - Clippers and Toronto - Philadelphia. On the remaining eight, the strategy would have been profitable.

Corridor in basketball

The “corridor” strategy, like catch-up, is one of those used in different sports, but for basketball it is almost ideal and is one of the safest. Its essence is to study the betting lines of offices and find in them a plus and minus handicap for different teams with a coefficient of 2.0 with a greater difference - it is called a “corridor”.

Let's imagine that bookmaker A managed to find a bet with a coefficient of 2.0 on a victory with a handicap (-4.5) of CSKA over Fenerbahce, and bookmaker B - a handicap (+6.5) on Fenerbahce in the same game with the same 2.0. By betting the same amount on the two specified outcomes (for example, 100 USD each), we get three possible situations:

• CSKA won by 7 points or more - the bet on (-4.5) plays and we take away the 200 USD that we bet;
• CSKA won by 4 points or less, the match ended in a draw or Fener won - only the bet on (+6.5) Fenerbahce plays and we take the 200 USD that we bet;
• CSKA won by 4.5 or 6 points - this is a hit in the "corridor" that this strategy is striving for. Two bets are played - and (-4.5) on CSKA and (+6.5) on the opponent, we take 400 USD.

The described situation is ideal and difficult to find, but sometimes peculiar "forks" happen. A good tactic is that it is win-win, but its disadvantage is that it is difficult to find a wide corridor even of 3-4 points, but you also need to wait for the teams to “get into it”.

This strategy is also used as a risky one when playing live. The score in a basketball game tends to change often, as does the base handicap, so with a well-developed intuition, you can find options when corridors of 8-10 points appear. For example, you bet on (+10) on an outsider, he took the lead at the beginning of the game and the bookmaker gave (-2) on the favorite instead of the original (-10). In such a situation with a closed corridor along handicap An advantage given to a weaker participant to equalize the chances of success.(-2) and (+10) the final victory of the favorite in 3-9 points will give a double rise.

Live in basketball games

Most live tactics are classified as high-risk, as there is no time for mathematical calculations, and you have to play mainly on intuition. But there are basic tactics here too. For example, many bettors play live, finding matches where the favorite relaxed at the beginning of the game - it often happens that the outsider starts the match briskly, gives all the best in the first half of the game, but then succumbs physically, and the favorite puts the “upstart” in place. Tracking several matches at the same time, we will find a game that fits this scenario - bet on the losing favorite and wait for him to add in the end.

A popular tactic for betting on live basketball is victory of the losing team in the third quarter if the previous two were won by the favorite. The following logic works here - with a good advantage, the coach of the leaders in the score can release a number of understudies on the field, save the leaders for the end of the game, and in the third quarter the losing team will be allowed to close the gap.

Betting on a plus handicap

In basketball, betting on the outcome of a match is unpopular - often the odds for winning are small, and there is a risk that the game will go into overtime. Assessing the strength of the teams, they often play a handicap - it is relevant for the entire game, taking into account overtime, it takes place with a coefficient of 1.8-1.9, if we are talking about the basic handicap. Players often forget that teams enter the court not to "break through" but to win the match. And if, for example, the favorite won by 3 points, and he was given a handicap of (-12.5) - this is not a tragedy for the team itself, but for the player who took such a negative handicap - a failure.

In basketball, no one wants to win at any cost with the highest possible score - even in a playoff series, the very fact of victory matters, not the score. It turns out that there are serious discrepancies between the basic principles of betting on basketball and the game itself, and they can be played if you critically evaluate the handicaps set by bookmakers and bet on positive odds.

Bookmakers do not take totals and odds out of the blue, but in basketball statistics do not work as accurately as in other sports, and analysts' forecasts for an advantage in the score are often inaccurate here. This is the basis of the tactics of playing on plus handicaps - you find matches where the advantage of the favorite in the line, as it seems to you, is exaggerated - and bet on the outsider's plus handicap.

Why is betting on a positive handicap a priori better? The winning team has a habit of relaxing, and often negative handicaps burn in the last quarter, when both the coach releases the young and the stars play carelessly. The losing team is always trying to close the lead, whatever it may be, and only give up if the lead is too big.

There is a lot of material for betting on basketball, and it is difficult to name the best of them. But they are all based on the knowledge and experience that a player gets after watching basketball games. Without this, any tactic will be doomed to failure. Therefore, it is better to apply the game methods described above in those championships in which the bettor is oriented as best as possible.