Cross sports betting. Financial sports betting strategies with minimal risk


Sports betting is a constant risk. Are you betting but can't make money? The fact is that you are taking too much risk, and unjustifiably so. That is why it will not be superfluous to get acquainted with strategies with a minimum risk of capital loss. By the way, some of them, with the right approach, are guaranteed to bring profit and allow you to get a plus, even if you are now in the red.

Bookmaker odds for the same outcomes differ. If you reveal at least a minimal difference, you can get a win with a 100% guarantee. Regardless of the outcome of the event, you will be in the black.

To understand the essence of the method, consider a simple example. For the victory of player 1, the bookmaker gives a coefficient of 1.5, and for the victory of player 2, the bookmaker's office "Betcity" set a coefficient of 5.0. Allocates 1000 rubles for the match. We bet 750 rubles for the first athlete and 250 for the second.

If player 1 wins, the payout is 1125 rubles, and if player 2, the payoff will be 1250 rubles. Net profit - 125 or 250 rubles. And it doesn't matter how the fight ends - the main thing is that it ends.

Opportunities for such bets appear due to the fact that all bookmakers are not able to set the same quotes, especially at the same time. On this you need to earn. The main thing is to place bets in different offices.

Underdog win in quarter

The strategy is for basketball. It is based on statistics. The fact is that 98% of basketball matches do not end with the victory of the favorite in all quarters. Statistics are based on observations, because no one has conducted a detailed study, but this is not a reason to refuse possible earnings.

We find in Live a match that has just begun. We bet on the victory of an outsider in the first quarter. If the bet is successful, we find another game. In case of defeat, he makes a similar bet in the second quarter, but we increase the amount of the initial bet. And so, until we win.

For example, if you bet 100 rubles and lost them, then bet not 200, but a little more. So that when you enter the bet, we not only return the lost hundred, but also remain in the black.

There are very few basketball matches in which the favorite wins all periods - you can check this yourself by opening the results of the game day of almost any tournament. To increase your chances of success, filter out events where the odds difference is too large.

The strategy is easily modified. For example, betting not on an outsider, but on a favorite. You can bet on total or even/odd. Again, matches where there would be a total over or only even in all quarters, the minimum number. Use it!)

Dogon

The bottom line is that you bet on a specific outcome. If the forecast turned out to be erroneous, bet by doubling or even tripling the amount (depending on the coefficient).

The main thing is to choose the right fights and outcomes with high chances of success. Don't bet on anything. Consider each option, because you are risking your own money. Unfortunately, in the case of a long black line, which even professionals are not immune from, there is a risk of losing the entire game bank, so stock up on an amount that is enough for 10-12 transactions. You can find out more about what catch-up is.

Forks

The essence of the strategy is to find the most profitable odds for each outcome of one event. By correctly distributing the allotted amount for the bet, regardless of the outcome of the game, you will remain in the black.

The difficulty lies in finding surebets, although there are special programs for this. You can.

Profit from one arbitrage situation is 1-3%, sometimes more, but it is unlikely that you will be able to regularly find surebets with higher profitability. This win-win strategy is useful if you have a large bank. Then 1-3% seems to be small, but if it is 1-3% of a bank of 100 thousand rubles, then it’s not bad at all.

An example of a fork strategy in a football match. Playing Barcelona and Real Madrid. In BC "Leon" odds. on P1 is 2.3, in the "League of Stavok" for a draw - 3.3, and the odds. on P2 in "1xBet" is equal to 3.97.

For bets, for example, we allocate 1000 rubles. On P1 we put 439.31 odds. 2.3, for a draw - 306.18 per kf. 3.3 and 254.51 on P2 with odds. 3.97. The results will be as follows:

  • with the victory of Barcelona (W1): 439.31 x 2.3 = 1010.41 rubles;
  • if draw (X): 306.18 x 3.3 = 1010.39 rubles;
  • in case of Real Madrid win (L2): 254.51 x 3.97 = 1010.40 rubles.

No matter how El Clasico ends, our profit will be a little more than 10 rubles. A penny, but if with an increase in rates, income also grows.

Everything is so simple only in theory. There are many nuances, pitfalls and features in the strategy, so be sure to check out the most detailed material about surebets at this link.

First goal by foot

Football strategy is to bet that the first goal will be scored with the foot. In 75% of matches, the first goal is scored with the foot, and not with the head, chest or other part of the body.

Experienced users of bookmakers are always experimenting with sports betting strategies that become even easier and more profitable. There are a large number of existing and working methods that have been developed and tested over the years. As a rule, they are the works of people with mathematical inclinations who understand the theory of probability.

They can differ from each other in many factors, but most often it depends on the sport. This means that for a person betting on football, the strategies will be different from other sports. In addition, it should be noted that even for one sport there can be a huge variety of strategies.

How to make profit with strategies

Even the most proven and effective strategies cannot guarantee profit, since sports events take place between people. Mistakes are made even by the most experienced and professional athletes, which is why you need to understand that following and using strategies cannot always guarantee a win.

If we talk about how you can make a profit with the help of strategies, then you need to remember a few points:

  1. Before placing a bet, you need to carefully study the strategy that you will use.
  2. Check if the selected event complies with all the rules and conditions of the strategy.
  3. Make a bet in the amount recommended by the author of the strategy.

By following these three main rules, the percentage of wins will constantly increase. Even despite the fact that sometimes there will be discrepancies.

The most popular sport for strategies

There are many different sports, but football is considered the most popular in all bookmakers. Each football betting strategy has its own characteristics, in addition, the championship and the league in which it is used play an important role. Quite often, football strategies have a narrow specialization and a small list of championships or even individualization for a particular league and country.

The most working types of strategies

The world of sports betting has a fairly large number of different strategies. Unfortunately, not all of them are very popular among bettors. This section will cover the following strategies:

  1. Martingale strategy.
  2. Studying the Kelly criteria.
  3. Dogon rates.
  4. Betting on yellow cards in football.
  5. Live strategy.
  6. Flat.
  7. Express strategy.
  8. Method of betting on even and odd totals in football.
  9. Draw strategy in football.

Fast passage

As soon as beginners get a little familiar with the world of betting, their attention is drawn to a variety of tactics and game systems developed by professionals. One of the first such ways to correctly distribute the bankroll, novice bettors try the d'Alembert strategy. It bears the name of its creator, the great French mathematician and physicist.

Principles and rules of the d'Alembert strategy

The system of an outstanding scientist is a complicated version of Dogon based on algebraic progression. The player is invited to choose a certain fixed amount himself and designate it as a unit. This figure will become the first bet, as well as the step size. In case of loss, the next amount must be increased by this unit and so on, until you win. After winning, the amount of the bet must be reduced by the same amount of the original bet. Events, it is desirable to choose with coefficients of 3 - 4. The larger the odds, the more steps you can take to the bitter end. Let's consider the d'Alembert strategy in more detail using an example.

As part of the prestigious tennis tournament, two famous athletes Rafael Nadal, representing Spain, and Serb Novak Djokovic meet. We will bet on a break in each game for a factor of 3.5. Let's take the amount of 100 rubles for a fixed unit and make the first bet:

Net profit was: 1050 + 1400 - (100 + 200 + 300 + 200 + 300 + 400) = 950 rubles.

Best of all for d'Alembert's strategy are drawn outcomes and bets on taking someone else's serve.

Counter-d'Alembert system

Starting to place bets, each privateer thinks about the plan that he will follow during the conclusion of transactions. When choosing several sports for analysis, it should be remembered that the strategies of the game will vary. On the basis of the famous d'Alembert system, the reverse tactics of the game were invented. Its differences from the original version:

  1. When you win a bet, its amount is increased by the size of the original bet.
  2. If you lose, its amount decreases accordingly.

Counter d'Alembert example

Let's consider the principle of operation of the counter-d'Alembert system in football. Alaves team plays in the Spanish Premier League, matches with their participation often end in a draw. We will bet on this outcome.

  1. Modest Las Palmas came to visit the club, we bet 100 rubles on a coefficient of 3, that the game will end with a draw. The outcome of the meeting: 1:1, our prediction was correct. The winnings amounted to 300 rubles. (net profit 200).
  2. According to the system for the next fight, we increase the amount of the bet by a unit equal to 100 rubles. Now Alaves is playing on the road against the middle peasants Eibar Examples. Unexpectedly for many, the match again ends with the world: 0:0. And our bet played again. We are already in the black by 400 rubles.
  3. We increase the amount by one more and put 300 rubles on the next game. This time, Alaves hosts the Betis team, which is located at the very bottom of the standings. Predictably, the victory remains with the hosts: 1:0. Our bet is lost. We are in the red by 300 rubles.
  4. We reduce the bet by one unit, now its amount is 200 rubles. The next game will take place in Bilbao, where the Alaves team is waiting for the local Athletic. The club once again confirm their propensity for draws. The account is not opened, 0:0. And our rate won, plus 400 rubles of net profit to the bank.

In this particular example, the net profit after four games was:

200 + 400 - 300 + 400 = 700 rubles.

Effectiveness of the d'Alembert and counter-d'Alembert strategy

Above, we looked at examples with a positive outcome of using the system, but does this mean that the strategy is win-win? Unfortunately no. Of course, this tactic has its risks, and should not be used thoughtlessly, relying only on luck.

The main drawback of the strategy is that a long losing streak (more than 6 defeats in a row) does not allow you to get a profit or at least return your money back. Let's look at an example:

So, inspired by the situation described above, we chose the same Alaves team and we will make predictions for a draw with odds of 3, but our bets fell on a different game period.

Now let's calculate whether the last win managed to cover the previous losses:

600 * 3 - (100 + 200 + 300 + 400 + 500 + 600) = -300 rubles.

As a result, we are in the red, and after all, the losing streak could have been longer, then our bank would have lost an even larger amount.

conclusions

By itself, the counter-D'Alembert strategy is ineffective and can drive the player into a significant disadvantage, but using your own brains, statistics and intuition, you can create a completely competitive system based on it. Good luck!

Danish betting strategy

The system got its name in honor of the country where it was used for the first time. Its basic rules are similar to the d'Alembert strategy, but there are also fundamental differences. Let's look at examples of how to use the Danish betting strategy, determine the advantages and disadvantages of it.

The essence of the Danish betting strategy

The Danish betting strategy can essentially be used live, because if you lose the same bet, the odds rise, but not always enough to cover the size of previous losses. The player chooses a fixed amount to start the game with. After each loss, the new bet is increased by the original amount and is considered a step. But that's not all. Not only the amount of the bet increases, but also the coefficient. Let's take a closer look at an example:

After a winning bet, the cycle begins anew. Now let's calculate the net profit:

500 * 3.5 - (100 + 200 + 300 + 400 + 500) \u003d 250 rubles.

Advantages and disadvantages of the Danish betting strategy

First, consider the main advantages of the presented system:

  • it forgives up to 13 mistakes and allows you to easily get a plus (unlike the same d'Alembert strategy);
  • the risk of the amount of the initial bank is much lower than with the usual catch-up with an increase in each subsequent bet twice.

And now the cons:

  • if the better did not manage to win in the first few attempts, it will be much more difficult to do this in the future, because. the coefficient is growing inexorably;
  • is not win-win, there is a risk of draining the entire bank, in the event of a long series of unsuccessful bets.

Tips for Using the Danish Betting Strategy

Football is best suited for betting on the system, namely (after the first - second attempt) - accumulators from predictable events. These are bets on obvious favorites with odds of 1.2 - 1.4, or a total over 1.5 on teams that score and concede a lot.

The first 4 bets are lost, we need to collect events for a factor of 3.5. We will choose the victory of clear favorites:

Manchester City – Crystal Palace P1 1.35

Granada – Real Madrid P2 1.40

Napoli – Cagliari P1 1.40

Bayern – Darmstadt 1.32

Overall ratio: 3.5

There is a chance that one of the favorites will not be able to defeat the outsider, but it is small. It is all the more difficult to imagine that according to this principle, you can lose 13 accumulator bets in a row.

Conclusion

The Danish strategy has a right to exist, but without additional knowledge it is unlikely to be effective. Pre-match assessment of statistical data and other additional information will allow you to bring the system to perfection and win up to 3-4 rounds of bets without risking impressive amounts.

Kelly criterion

It is almost impossible to earn consistently on bets without using strategies or using only one. Moreover, sporting events are very different in their performance and the likelihood of outcomes. In the twentieth century, tactics for winning bets based on mathematical calculations became widespread. In honor of its creator, Edward Kelly, the calculation system was named - the Kelly Criterion. Further on examples.

Rules for calculating the Kelly criterion

The Kelly strategy is based on a mathematical formula that allows you to determine the size of the bet, taking into account statistical data, probability theory and your own knowledge, as well as the information collected.

The correct calculation of the Kelly criterion implies that the better using it is not an ordinary amateur, but a professional who is able to soberly assess the game situation and express the probability of winning as a percentage.

The formula for calculating the Kelly criterion:

(Set of BC * Ind.pr - 1) / (Set of BC - 1) * AUC * 100 = Required bet, %,

Set BC - this is the coefficient offered for the event by the bookmaker;

Ind.pr – prediction of the probability of winning, assigned by the player himself, its value must be in the range from 0 to 1;

PPK - increasing-decreasing coefficient, on which the degree of risk depends, the larger it is, the larger the gain will be. Its number is chosen by the player himself, usually for a long period of time. Betters who use the strategy on an ongoing basis rarely use a coefficient higher than 0.4 in the formula;

Required bet amount – the total percentage of your bank that you need to bet on the selected event.

How does the Kelly strategy work?

The following example will help you better understand the Kelly criteria. So let's bet on football. As part of the English Premier League in London, the local Arsenal and Manchester United meet. Bookmakers give odds of 2.11 for the hosts to win. In our opinion, the figure is clearly overestimated, because the guests recently had a very important match in the Europa League, and this is the tournament the team is focused on, besides, the club's infirmary is full, there will be no key players on the field in the upcoming meeting.

Let's say our bank is 1000 rubles. Let's calculate how much we should bet on the "Arsenal win" event. The bookmaker gives a coefficient of 2.11 for such an outcome, which is slightly less than 50%. Our individual forecast is 70% (0.7). We choose PPK 0.2. Now we plug the numbers into the formula:

(2.11 * 0.7 - 1) / (2.11 - 1) * 0.2 * 100 \u003d 8.6% or 86 rubles.

The match ended with the victory of Arsenal with a score of 2: 0, our bet played:

86 * 2,11 = 181,5;

181.5 - 86 \u003d 95.5 rubles - net profit.

Now our bank has amounted to 1095.5, and it is from this amount that we should build on the following calculations.

Is it possible to make money on the Kelly Criteria?

Unfortunately, using only this strategy will not lead to winnings. Sooner or later, the player will simply merge the entire bank. To successfully apply the Kelly Criterion, you need to have a deep knowledge of the chosen sport, follow the games and do serious work on the study of statistical data.

Martingale strategy

In the betting environment, it is difficult to find a strategy that would be as popular as the Martingale system. Its simplicity, accessibility and effectiveness have attracted bettors for many years. What is the essence of this method and is it really as rosy as we would like?

The essence of the martingale strategy

Initially, the method was conceived as a roulette tactic for betting on red / black or any other casino game, where the main choice is between two outcomes. But very soon it was borrowed by bettors specializing in sports predictions. Its meaning lies in the constant increase in the amount of the bet by half in the event of another loss. In this case, the coefficient on the outcome must be at least two. That is, the amount put on the line when winning must double.

Let's look at an example.

We will bet on an odd number of points in the game by the minimum allowable odds.

Calculate the profit received:

1600 * 2 - (100 + 200 + 400 + 800 + 1600) = 100 rubles.

Despite a long losing streak, we still came out on top. But such a bet will play if the budget is enough to win the bet, but the earnings with such risks are equal to the size of the first bet from the series.

Disadvantages of the Martingale Strategy

At first glance, using the Martingale strategy and having a decent initial bank, it is impossible to lose, but this is not so. A losing streak can last as long as you want, and even with a good margin, you can lose a large amount. The fact is that bookmakers have long begun to set the upper limit of the bet, thereby reducing all the advantages of this method of making deals to nothing.

In addition, wanting to get a small win, the better risks a much larger amount, which only accelerates bankruptcy. Thus, such a method of financial management as the Martingale strategy cannot be called a win-win. It is not recommended for use by beginners and very gamblers. And also do not forget that the bankroll should not affect the financial situation of the family. Be prudent and then luck will be on your side!

Miller's management

History knows quite a few betters who have achieved success with the help of their own knowledge and systems developed by them. One of these lucky ones was J. Miller. The American not only got rich himself, but also shared his strategy with millions.

Miller's Fundamental Principles of Financial Management

The system developed by a talented handicapper will not help you guess the outcome of sporting events, it is designed only for the correct distribution of funds from the original bank.

Miller's Peru owns many articles in which he substantiates, from a scientific point of view, the main mistakes of most betters. His strategy will help to avoid the temptation to increase rates and earn by properly allocating his funds.

In order for Miller's strategy to really work, you need to turn off your head, defeat all gambling emotions in yourself and firmly grasp that the probability of winning the current bet does not depend on previous outcomes won or lost. The author of the methodology convincingly advises choosing events with two possible outcomes and odds of 1.85 - 1.91 (in each office in different ways, they depend on the margin that the bookmaker takes for himself as an intermediary). In other words, Miller's financial management is used for events with a probability of 50%.

And now the actual essence of the system. Miller suggests betting on small fixed amounts that make up 1% of the total pot. And raise them only when the initial capital has increased by 25%. The rate itself is increased by the same number.

Our bank is 10,000 rubles, i.e. the bet amount will be 100 rubles. As soon as the total amount increases by 25% and reaches 12,500, we raise the rate to 125 rubles. In order for the strategy to be profitable, it is enough to guess 52.85% of all predicted events.

Disadvantages of Miller's financial management strategy

Miller calls the timely revision of the amount of the bet and the competent distribution of the bank's money the key to the success of his method, but the result of the bets depends on the player himself. Using a strategy alone to make a profit is not enough, it must be combined with a deep analysis of statistical data and other information about the upcoming game.

tank attack method

Financial strategies, unlike gaming ones, teach bettors to correctly distribute the initial bank and do not allow them to drain all the money, trying to win back in the event of a single failure. One of the most interesting tactics of this kind is called "tank attack".

The essence of the tank attack strategy

The financial principle is easy to explain in a playful way. The stakes are tanks that have acted in a row on the enemy, and each loss is the loss of one of them. The original bank is divided into several equal parts. There may be 3 or 5, or 7 ... And each one has its own forecast. If the bet wins, the attack continues and the entire amount is wagered on the next event. If the forecast turned out to be incorrect, the tank is knocked out and is out of the fight.

Our initial bank amounted to 3,000 rubles. We divide it into three equal parts of 1000 and place bets (it is advisable to choose events with small odds, which you are sure of winning):

  1. Manchester City - Crystal Palace: we bet 1000 for the home team to win at 1.30, final score: 5:0, winning 1300.
  2. Amkar - CSKA: we bet 1000 for the guests to win for 1.60, the final score is 0:2, the win is 1600.
  3. Barcelona - Villarreal: we bet 1000 on the hosts to win for 1.20, the final score is 4:1, the win is 1200.

Next tank attack series:

  1. 1300 on Liverpool - Southampton - home win for 1.50. The game ended in a draw, the bet lost.
  2. 1600 on Lazio - Sampdoria - P1 for 1.35. Final score: 7:3, win 2160.
  3. 1200 on Granada - Real Madrid - away win for 1.15. Final score: 0:4, win 1380.

After the second series, we lost one tank, we continue:

  1. 2160 at Chelsea - Middlesbrough - home win for 1.50. Final score 3:0, win 3240.
  2. 1380 in Chievo - Palermo - home win for 1.56. The game ended in a draw, 1:1. The bet lost.

After the tank attack, we have 3240 left in our bank.

3240 - 3000 \u003d 240 rubles - net profit.

Now we divide this sum into several equal parts and continue the game.

The above are events with odds of 1.15 - 1.60, the smaller they are, the greater the chance of winning. When the player himself decides to finish the “attack”, if in the example we stopped after the second stage, the profit would be:

2160 + 1380 = 3540;

3540 - 3000 = 540 rubles.

Tank attack strategy. Is it realistic to win?

The success of the strategy directly depends on the better's ability to analyze and correctly use the information received. Even small odds do not give a guarantee of winning, and if you blindly choose only numbers, sooner or later the entire bank will be drained.

Oscar Grind Betting Strategy

By using several strategies in sports betting, the chances of success are always increased. Many financial systems are built on the principles of Martingale game tactics and represent its improved copy. This is the strategy of Oscar Grind.

The essence of the Oscar Grind betting system

Unlike the notorious Martingale strategy, when using which the amount of the bet increases after a loss, in the Oscar Grind system, the amount increases after a win. If your forecast is defeated, then nothing needs to be changed.

The maximum bet on one event cannot be more than 1/12 of the total bank, and the odds on the selected outcome must not be less than 2.

The increase in the amount after winning occurs once, even if you managed to win twice, the series will start anew from the third prediction. Let's take a closer look at the Oscar Grind system using an example:

Our initial bank is 1200 rubles, i.e. the value of the first bet will be 100 rubles. We select an event with a coefficient of 2:

The final bank amounted to 1400 rubles, net profit: 1400 - 1200 \u003d 200 rubles.

As you can see from the example, it is really possible to make money on the strategy by guessing 50% of the bets.

Is it possible to win with the Oscar Grind strategy?

Experienced betters who have tried the strategy on themselves are extremely skeptical about it, believing that sooner or later it will lead to a complete loss. Experts in the field of probability theory came to the same conclusion.

For a stable plus, the player must guess at least 50% of bets with a coefficient of at least 2. In practice, this is almost unrealistic. Considering the margin that the bookmaker takes, the probability of an event is less than 50%.

The advantages of the system include protection from betting limits and the impossibility of a quick bank merger.

The Oscar Grind strategy is great to use in a short period of time, but its long-term use is almost 100% likely to end in failure. Learn how to properly distribute money on bets, both after losing and after winning. And then a permanent profit or temporary preservation of the bankroll will be provided.

The Monty Hall Paradox

The use of bankroll distribution systems and bet selection strategies saves each bettor from the possible loss of the entire budget. Experienced players have verified that it is necessary to put into practice different ways of playing, especially since there are quite a lot of such methods. The Monty Hall Paradox is one of many. The unique strategy was named after the host of the popular US show. For the first time, her explanations were shown there.

The essence of the Monty Hall paradox

In the program, Monty Hall's paradox was explained using a simple mathematical riddle. The subject was offered a choice of 3 doors, behind one of which was the main prize - a car, behind the other two - goats. The probability of opening the correct door in each of the three cases, according to mathematical theory, was 33.3%. After the participant pointed to the door he liked, the host opened one of the two with a goat (the one that the player did not name) and offered to change his choice.

More often than not, the subjects insisted on their original opinion without understanding one simple thing. The probability that the car is hidden behind the initially chosen door will remain 33.3%, when the probability of finding the car behind the second door increases to 66.6%.

And if there are not 3, but 100 doors, and the leader in turn opens 98 with goats, then the probability of guessing by changing his mind increases to 99%.

Monty Hall paradox in examples

Consider the application of the Monty Hall paradox on the example of bets in bookmakers.

In the Italian Serie A, the end of the season is approaching. Each team has only one match left to play. Let's say three teams: Crotone, Palermo and Pescara are fighting for survival in the big leagues and have approximately equal chances of success. The club that earns more points in the last game will continue in Serie A. The probability of each of them going further is 33.3%. We bet on Palermo. Pescara plays first and is defeated. The probability of Crotone passing increases to 66.6%. Now you need to bet on this team, and its amount should cover the possible loss from the first prediction and bring profit from above.

conclusions

At first glance, the decision contradicts all the basics of logic and common sense. However, if you think carefully, everything will fall into place. The Monty Hall paradox strategy clearly shows bettors their main mistakes, the inability to realistically assess the possibilities of winning outcomes.

countermovement

It is almost impossible to play on bets without a plan and earn consistently. Therefore, all successful bettors, after trying out different systems, use 3-4 constantly or create their own, which significantly increases the chances of winning. Here we will consider the strategy of betting on sports on countermoves. The counter-bet is very similar to the arb system, so by adhering to its principles for a long time with a positive result, you can attract the "attention" of bookmakers to your account.

Principles of the Backward Strategy

It is very easy to understand the rules of the Counterpass system. The player makes an express, and then insures it with the help of ordinary. The only mandatory condition is that the events must take place at different times. Let's take a closer look at an example.

As the events we need, we will select football matches in the English Premier League and make an express:

  1. Southampton - Arsenal P1 for 2.00.
  2. Everton - Watford P1 for 1.45.
  3. Crystal Palace - Hull City P1 for 2.05.

Overall coefficient: 5.95.

Let the bet amount be 200 rubles. Before the first game, we need to insure the accumulator and put a single on the opposite outcome:

Southampton – Arsenal X2 for 1.85

We put 250 rubles on it. If the ordinar wins, our payoff will be:

250 * 1.85 = 462.5 rubles.

Let's calculate the net profit. To do this, subtract the amount of the bet and the lost express:

462.5 - 250 - 200 \u003d 12.5 p.

If the single has lost, we move on to the next event in the accumulator and make a new bet. We select its amount taking into account the previous loss:

Everton – Watford X2 for 2.85

Let's put 250 rubles on it. If the ordinar wins, our payoff will be:

250 * 2.85 = 712.5 rubles

Net profit:

712.5 - 250 - 250 - 200 \u003d 12.5 rubles.

If the single has lost, go to the last event in the accumulator. At the moment, we have bet the amount of 700 rubles. In case of luck, the winnings on the express bet will be 1190 rubles, i.е. We have 490 rubles left for the last order:

Crystal Palace - Hull City X2 for 1.82.

Winning this bet will not cover the money spent, and we will be in the red. What to do? Is the backtracking strategy not working?

Experienced bettors, using counter-move bets, recommend leaving the event in which you are most confident in the end and abandoning the last ordinary. However, this rarely comes to pass. In reality, an accumulator with a large overall odds loses at the very beginning, on the first or second move.

conclusions

The Counter-Move strategy is not a win-win, but a competent distribution of events in the multiple bet will help you consistently win a small amount at an insurance bet.

System of rates "+60%"

Most betting tactics in bookmakers are prefabricated systems from existing popular strategies. “+60%” is one of them. It includes elements of the classic Martingale strategy and the less well-known flat system, which consists of betting a fixed amount on each selected event.

The essence of the "+60%" system

The main principles of the "+60%" strategy:

  1. We select events with a coefficient of at least 1.7.
  2. We divide the bank into parts and bet starting from 1% of the total money, increasing the amount in case of loss in the following percentage sequence: 1; 3.5; 9.5; 24.5; 61.5.
  3. In order for the strategy to be profitable, you cannot allow more than 5 losses in a row.

The strategy is characterized by a high degree of risk, because even a professional player has losing streaks of 5 or more bets.

Still, losing 5 bets one after another with odds of 1.7 - 1.8 is not so easy. The probability of winning each of them is about 56%, and losing 5 times in a row is 1.7%.

The initial bank is 1000 rubles. We will bet on events with a coefficient of 1.8.

1107 - 1000 \u003d 107 rubles - net profit.

conclusions

The “+60%” system, like the others, is not a win-win, but the probability of making a profit when using it is much higher than using the same Martingale and Fixed Profit strategies.

Composite odds

One of the sources of income for bookmakers is the margin. This is the difference between the real probability of winning and the coefficient provided by the bookmaker, the part that the exchange takes for mediation. In some bookmakers, the margin is so high that the game according to any of the known financial strategies is doomed to failure. The "composite odds" system allows you to increase the amount of winnings by dividing the bets into two.

Using the compound coefficients strategy

The proposed system is suitable for volleyball, basketball and tennis, those sports where the overall victory in the game consists of the victory in separate sets, quarters or halves.

Let's take a closer look at an example.

On the tennis court, two old rivals Italian Fabio Fognini and Spaniard Rafael Nadal meet. They give a coefficient of 1.74 on the favorite of the match (Nadal), and we will bet on him. Now let's look at the line proposed by the bookmaker, namely, let's pay attention to the exact score by game. If Nadal wins, the game will end with a score of 2:0 for a coefficient of 3.0 or 2:1 for 3.40 in favor of the Spaniard. If, instead of betting on the usual win, we break the pot and make 2 predictions on the correct score, our profit will be higher.

Disadvantages of the compound coefficients strategy

The system of composite coefficients has one, but quite a significant drawback. The game can go in a completely different scenario, and you will lose all the money. There is always the possibility that even the most hopeless outsider can beat the venerable favorite.

Strategy "1.01 - 1.02"

Playing with a bookmaker without tactics is not a good idea. In any confrontation, there must be a plan for victory. In sports betting, players use even more than one such plan, but also spare and safety ones. Experienced betters use proven strategies, the “1.01 -1.02” strategy has become popular in live mode.

The principle of operation of the system "1.01 -1.02"

When a meeting is held between approximately equal teams, any event in the game is interpreted by bookmakers in one direction or another, and the odds change by a few tenths or hundredths. If there is a clear favorite in the pair, the coefficient changes only from 1.01 to 1.02.

According to the strategy, at the very beginning of the match, a player bets a small amount, for example, 100 rubles, with a coefficient of 1.01. After the coefficient has changed to 1.02, we make a second bet, this time “back”. The amount must be equal to the potential winnings from the first bet. If the favorite wins, our bank increases by 100 rubles, if the outsider wins miraculously, we go to zero.

The subtleties of the strategy "1.01 - 1.02"

You can use tactics repeatedly even within the same game, however, due to the high demand for minimum odds, bets may not go through and be blocked by the bookmaker.

For the successful application of the system, it is necessary to have access to a live broadcast without delay, otherwise you may simply not have time to secure the strategy.

The "1.01 - 1.02" system is more focused on experienced bettors who are able to skillfully play live odds. Beginners are better off choosing a different strategy.

Fixed interest from the bank

To become a successful better, it is not enough to have knowledge in the topic of sporting events; one of the most important factors in preserving and increasing funds is the correct distribution of the bankroll. The use of money management greatly simplifies the life of not only bettors, but also traders, investors and other people who invest their own money. The rate system "Fixed interest from the bank" refers to financial management strategies.

The essence of the fixed interest strategy from the bank

First of all, the player must determine the initial bank. Each bet will be a fixed percentage of this amount.

General bank - 1000 rubles. We will bet 10% of the bank, i.e. 100 rubles. Let's say our bet lost, the amount remained on the account:

1000 - 100 = 900 rubles.

Let's say our bet with odds of 3 won:

90 * 3 = 270.

General bank:

900 – 90 + 270 = 1080.

Again we calculate 10% - 108 rubles, etc.

At first glance, using this financial strategy, it is impossible to lose, but in fact, sooner or later, the player will overtake a losing streak, and the bet will drop to an amount less than the bookmaker's minimum rate. This automatically means draining the entire bankroll.

conclusions

By itself, the strategy of a fixed percentage of the bankroll does not represent any value for bettors who dream of beating the bookmaker, but using it in combination with other systems can bring positive results. A modified tactic of fixed interest from the pot is the Kelly Criterion, which is used with success by professional bettors.

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Why is tactics needed?

As you know, the term "tactics" refers to the art of war, and means the combination of theory and practice of preparing for combat. Tactics in this case includes the development, preparation and study of all possible types of combat in order to be able to defeat the enemy.

Sports betting tactics are a lot like warfare, only you have to "fight" an enemy you may not even see in person. In order to make money on betting and receive monthly stable profits with the help of bets, you need to carefully prepare for the “battle” and develop effective tactics for playing the game.

As such, there is no one formula for sports betting, although many beginners try to uncover some secret that will help them win more than they lose. There is no single strategy for all players, using which they could make a profit in betting, but everyone chooses for himself what he likes and what he understands.

Profitable Predictions

The Fork strategy has long been considered the most profitable sports betting strategy. A few years ago it was possible to earn a lot of money using this system, but today bookmakers are taking all necessary measures to close the possibility for players to bet on arbitrage situations.

Forks have the following features:

  1. With any outcome of a sporting event, the player remains in the black, which becomes possible due to incorrectly set odds in bookmakers.
  2. Such a strategy can quickly lead to cutting the account to 0 rubles.
  3. Some offices even block the accounts of arbers.
  4. Surebets can become a profitable betting strategy if you manage not to attract the attention of bookmakers for a long time.
One of the most popular game tactics is arb bets.

Self assessment

Before choosing any tactics or game strategy, it is necessary to conduct an objective assessment of oneself. What does this mean? Answer yourself the following questions:

  • Am I ready to spend a lot of time learning the features of betting?
  • Will I watch the sporting events I bet on?
  • Do I have a strong character and strong mentality in order to play in a bookmaker's office?
  • Do I have a propensity for risk or do I have a balanced approach to solving any issues?
  • How much money am I ready to allocate for playing bookmaker?

It happens that people who make profitable sports bets end up in the red in bookmakers because they are not prepared for a long game. You must answer the above questions as objectively as possible. Perhaps you will realize that betting is not your thing, and it is better to take up other activities, since here you will only lose your money.

BK game tactics

Before considering the most profitable betting strategies, you need to choose the game tactics for yourself. Below you can get acquainted with the existing tactics and their features:

Tactics of the game in the bookmaker's office Description of tactics, its features
Daily betting or daily live play Most players who can't control their emotions play this way. They are not able to refuse bets, so they play betting shops every day. It is recommended to abandon this tactic if you bet on everything, wanting to win back, and you have absolutely no idea what you are betting on.
waiting strategy In this case, the probability of giving passing bets on sports is much greater, since you are waiting for those matches that are easier to predict. It is enough to make 1 bet per day, and sometimes 1 forecast per week.
Tactics of the game according to one's own and others' forecasts Some players trust only their forecasts, making bets on them in bookmakers. Others, on the contrary, find experienced cappers, according to whose forecasts they hope to make money. In both the 1st and 2nd cases, you can both exaggerate your capital and lose it.
Game bank management Be sure to learn money management in betting. Even forecast passability of 80% can be unprofitable if you manage your money incorrectly.

Game strategies

Next, it is important to analyze the time-tested sports betting strategies, because only they can generate income over a long distance. Each player independently chooses the strategy by which he will play in the bookmaker, but at the same time he must be aware that he himself is responsible for his achievements and defeats.

The most passing sports bets are made by those people who have learned to combine betting theory with practice and are able to apply the above tactics in practice. We will not single out any one strategy, praise it, list its advantages, because then it will be subjective information, since each player benefits from his own system.

Draw in football

A draw in football is not uncommon, and on some days you can see a large number of draws in a particular football league. At the same time, betting on a draw is considered a tricky prediction for sports, since here you have to guess the possible development of events on the football field with maximum accuracy.

Bookmakers offer odds in the region of 3-3.5 for this outcome, and sometimes you can find numbers even more than 3. There are a few things to keep in mind:

  • Clubs should be approximately the same level in terms of the game.
  • Perhaps one team is weaker than the other, but it plays at home, where it is vehemently supported by many fans.
  • The team did not have a draw for a long time.

With the right approach, betting on a draw in football can be profitable

Total over/under 2.5

The most passable sports bets are often given precisely for such an outcome - total over or total under in football. Often bookmakers offer an average of 2.5 goals, although in exceptional cases you can see totals of 3.5, 4.5, etc.

When using the strategy, the following aspects should be considered:

  1. Statistical data: the number of goals scored, personal meetings of clubs, etc.
  2. How strong / weak the team is currently playing in attack / defense.
  3. Football field condition.
  4. Team motivation.

Some players use the catch-up strategy, trying to guess the total over or under. It should be noted that such tactics of the game often leads to the drain of the entire bank in the shortest possible time.

Strategy "Corridor"

The strategy has become widespread in a sport such as basketball. It is here that you can get access to buying a handicap or total from 1 to 20 or more points. The formula for calculating a sports bet is as follows:

  • Before the match Bilbao - Valencia, for example, you bet on the victory of Valencia with a handicap (-7.5) with odds of 2.1. After the first quarter, under certain circumstances, the average handicap may increase to, say, 12.5 points.
  • Now you can not be greedy, but bet on the victory of Bilbao with a handicap (+12.5). In this way. In any case, the bet comes in, and ideally two bets will pass at once if the corridor is large enough.

This is a proven sports betting strategy, but it can also turn out to be unprofitable if the events on the basketball court do not develop according to your scenario. Here it is important to observe money management, not to bet all-in and never lose control of yourself.


The "Corridor" strategy has its own characteristics and advantages

Statistical bets

Recently, the most profitable football betting strategy has become the strategy of playing according to statistics. These are bets on the number of corners in the match, and on the number of yellow cards, shots on target, fouls, etc. However, even here, the study of statistics alone will not help much, because you need to understand football, objectively assess the strengths of opponents, their current physical and psychological form.

How much can you earn on bets?

Various sports betting tactics and strategies help players earn money through betting, and also help them lose less if something doesn't go the way you planned. Based on this, the question arises: how much money can you earn on bets? The answer can be given in several sentences:

  1. Unlimited money depending on your initial capital and the amount of bets you make.
  2. It is recommended to focus not on how much you can earn on one bet, but on how much you can earn monthly / quarterly / annually.
  3. Much depends on the mental state of the player. If you are not ready for large sums, then the gain will be insignificant.

You can earn a lot of money on betting, but you need to work hard for this.

At the same time, you need to be prepared to answer another question: how much am I willing to lose on sports betting? Every bettor has difficult moments when the predictions do not work, and in such moments it is important to continue to stick to a proven strategy and follow your tactics in the bookmaker.

In bookmakers, professionals manage to win huge amounts, but for this they use cunning tactics.


If you are good at sports, you can just place single bets after a detailed analysis, but the risks will still be high, because sometimes even outsiders win.

The simple and working sports betting strategy that you will learn about in this article involves multiple bets on favorites.

The probability that a team or an athlete with a coefficient of no more than 1.25 will win is high. Therefore, you need to choose just such a result, but the winnings will be too small.

Profitable strategy for bookmakers

You don't have to make complex forecasts to use this tactic. Although they will not be superfluous, because bookmakers can bet low odds on a win, which is in great doubt.

In any case, bets are placed exclusively on the favorites, which means that you will often win.

First you need to find the amount that is enough for 60 minimum bets. For example, if you bet 10 rubles each, then you need only 600 rubles (for increased profitability, you can start with 100 rubles, but then invest 6,000 rubles).

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